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The area of interest to the south of Mexico is slowly but surely organizing. It is in an area of low shear, high humidity, warm ocean waters, and converging winds. It seems on track to…
Read more of 06/27/25 Tropical Outlook – Invest 95E Likely to Form Into Storm This Weekend
Chances for another tropical system in the east Pacific are increasing from the past few days. Tropical storm Flossie has an 80 percent chance of developing within the next 7 days, but should not directly…
Tropical Storm Andrea is forecast to weaken and move further out into the Atlantic Ocean, with no effects on land. There is still another disturbance in the East Pacific to watch out for, with a…
Over Sunday and Monday, a collection of thunderstorms associated with low pressure, several hundred miles east of Bermuda, is trying to organize. The NHC has designated it as Invest 90L. This defies the models expectations,…
Read more of 06/24/25 Tropical Outlook – A Surprise in the Atlantic
An area of showers and thunderstorms are firing up off the coast of Costa Rica. With converging winds, very low wind shear, warm ocean waters, and a semi-moist layer aloft, the odds are looking pretty…
Read more of 06/22/25 Tropical Outlook – Odds of Development Increase in the Pacific
Hurricane Erick has now run its course, but there is another disturbance brewing in the same spot where Erick and many of our other tropical disturbances from this hurricane season began to form. Currently, there…
Read more of 06/21/25 Tropical Forecast – Another disturbance following Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick
It is likely that by the time you read this, Erick will be little more than a remnant low pressure. A far cry from what it was just before landfall Wednesday morning. This storm underwent…
Read more of 06/20/25 Tropical Outlook – In Erick’s Wake; More Trouble in the Pacific
Hurricane Erick is expected to make an intense landfall in western Oaxaca or eastern Guerrero early this morning as a Major Hurricane. Life-threatening impacts are imminent with heavy rain causing mudslides, storm surge, and devastating…
Hurricane Erick is currently undergoing rapid intensification. As recently as 5am this morning, this storm wasn’t even a hurricane yet. But it’s now Category 3, and may intensify further, before it landfalls tomorrow morning near…
Read more of Emergency Update – Hurricane Erick to Impact Oaxaca and Guerrero as Major Hurricane
As suspected, the tropical depression known as five-E has strengthened to a tropical storm and received a new name – Erick. This tropical storm is forecasted to make landfall on the southern coast of Mexico,…
Read more of 06/18/25 Tropical Forecast – Tropical Storm Erick is here; landfall on Mexico likely
