Wx Info: Explaining the Forecast Cone from the National Hurricane Center

A lot of times during Hurricane Season a lot of the buzz is around the model data. Social media is plastered with images of operational model output, spaghetti models and intensity guidance. But once a…

Read more of Wx Info: Explaining the Forecast Cone from the National Hurricane Center

8/26/21 Tropical Update: Tropical Depression 9 and what it means for the Gulf Coast

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT LOCATION…16.9N 79.2WABOUT 115 MI…180 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICAABOUT 210 MI…340 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMANMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005…

Read more of 8/26/21 Tropical Update: Tropical Depression 9 and what it means for the Gulf Coast

NHC maintains ‘above-normal’ Hurricane Season prediction for 2021 season

The National Hurricane Center maintains the potential for an above-average Hurricane season. The NHC released the mid-season update today. “After a record-setting start, the Atlantic 2021 hurricane season does not show any signs of relenting…

Read more of NHC maintains ‘above-normal’ Hurricane Season prediction for 2021 season

NOAA predicts another active hurricane season

The Climate Prediction Center released their seasonal prediction today, and to noone’s suprise it included an above-average forecast. The official prediction is: Above-normal Atlantic hurricane season. The CPC calls for 13 to 20 named storms…

Read more of NOAA predicts another active hurricane season

NHC to issue Tropical Outlooks two weeks earlier

The National Hurricane Center announced March 2, 2021 that Tropical Weather Outlooks will now begin on May 15th for the Atlantic Hurricane season. From the NHC: Public Information Statement NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL…

Read more of NHC to issue Tropical Outlooks two weeks earlier

8PM Update: Breaking down Delta’s impacts on So. Mississippi towns

Since so many of you guys appreciated my efforts earlier, I wanted to offer a quick update for everyone. Here is another long list of towns int eh area along with a forecast for each…

Read more of 8PM Update: Breaking down Delta’s impacts on So. Mississippi towns

10/08/20 4PM NHC Update: Delta regains “Major Hurricane” strength

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…24.8N 93.4W ABOUT 345 MI…555 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…959 MB…28.32 INCHES FORECAST…

Read more of 10/08/20 4PM NHC Update: Delta regains “Major Hurricane” strength

10/8/20 Early AM Update: Hurricane Delta continues strengthening, moving toward Gulf Coast

Hurricane Delta is in, what I’ve often called, a “primo environment.” That is to say, it has warm water and low shear, so it is free to organize and strengthen without predictable physics getting in…

Read more of 10/8/20 Early AM Update: Hurricane Delta continues strengthening, moving toward Gulf Coast

10/6/20 4PM NHC Advisory: Category 4 Hurricane Delta track shifts west

The National Hurricane Center track has shifted to the west a bit – not much – but still includes Louisiana and most of Mississippi. From the NHC CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AS OF 4PM CT LOCATION…18.9N 84.1W…

Read more of 10/6/20 4PM NHC Advisory: Category 4 Hurricane Delta track shifts west

10/6/20 10AM Update: Major Hurricane Delta moves toward Yucatan, then toward northern Gulf Coast

Through most of the day yesterday, Hurricane Delta re-organized and intensified. It, steadily, grew from a Tropical Storm to a Category 2 Hurricane. This morning, it continues to strengthen and will likely make it to…

Read more of 10/6/20 10AM Update: Major Hurricane Delta moves toward Yucatan, then toward northern Gulf Coast