The front that brought us our late week rain last week has officially moved out and been replaced with a high pressure system in the Gulf. The high covers a pretty broad area which means…
Category: Seasonal Outlooks
Dry Spell Ahead Next Week – Weekly Outlook for South MS/LA/AL 9/11/26
The rain has moved out of most of the Pine Belt this morning, and it looks like most of the rain is gone for the rest of the day! A few showers may pop up…
Read more of Dry Spell Ahead Next Week – Weekly Outlook for South MS/LA/AL 9/11/26
Folks wanna know: “What does the Super El Nino mean for me, Nick?”
Almost nothing. Okay, okay. Now I’m just being silly. El Nino sure has done a good number on our Hurricane Season so far. So perhaps “nothing” is a bit of an under-sell. El Nino is…
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First Day of Hurricane Season, All Quiet on Each Front – Weekly Outlook for South MS/LA/AL 6/1/26
We made it almost six months out without it feeling like Summer, but we’re very close! The weather pattern is shifting towards a full ridge over the southern US which means we’re gearing towards our…
Atlantic Tropical Forecast- 5/30/26
We’re just two days away from our official hurricane season! Looks like we’re off to a great start with no activity expected in the Atlantic basin for the next 7 days! We can thank the…
Meteorological Spring is Here, and uh, Yeah… It Feels Like It – Weekly Outlook for South MS/LA/AL 2/27/26
Okay, so it’s actually on March 1, but considering the conditions outside, it’s felt like Spring for the past 2 weeks. There is good news and bad news with this. The good news is that…
2025-2026 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook
Usually, I have these done by mid-October. This year I am trying to get an early start on things. I am the walking embodiment of those Nationwide Insurance “Life comes at you fast” ads. Because…
The Farmer’s Almanac forecasts are woefully wrong – frequently – so don’t trust it for this Winter, either
So, the Farmer’s Almanac came out with its yearly “It’s going to be the worst winter ever” forecast the other day and it got a lot of people’s attention. It was even leading newscasts as…
NickelBlock Forecasting 2023 Hurricane Season Outlook: Analogs suggest up to 6 tropical systems in the Gulf this Hurricane Season
I’m sure that got your attention. But six topical systems in the Gulf is pretty typical. On the average, since 2000, we’ve seen between 4 and 6 tropical systems (that includes tropical depressions) in the…
2022-2023 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook
I know this is about 10 days later than I usually kick these out – apologies! While I’ve had a general idea about what the forecast will hold, putting these together does tend to take…
