So, the Farmer’s Almanac came out with its yearly “It’s going to be the worst winter ever” forecast the other day and it got a lot of people’s attention. It was even leading newscasts as…
Category: Seasonal Outlooks
NickelBlock Forecasting 2023 Hurricane Season Outlook: Analogs suggest up to 6 tropical systems in the Gulf this Hurricane Season
I’m sure that got your attention. But six topical systems in the Gulf is pretty typical. On the average, since 2000, we’ve seen between 4 and 6 tropical systems (that includes tropical depressions) in the…
2022-2023 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook
I know this is about 10 days later than I usually kick these out – apologies! While I’ve had a general idea about what the forecast will hold, putting these together does tend to take…
NOAA releases Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 plus extra tidbits on ‘triple-dip’ Nina and what La Nina means for severe weather
The first seasonal forecast for Winter from NOAA was released the other day. It looks very La Nina like. That is expected, though. La Nina is anticipated to continue through Fall and into Winter. With…
NOAA releases 2022 Hurricane Season Outlook: a look at the numbers, the forecast, the errors, and how to stay prepared this season
NOAA released their 2022 Hurricane season outlook today calling for an above-average season. This should come as no surprise. In the heels of the last few years, the lingering La Nina and the Colorado State…
12/3/21 Gulf Coast December Outlook Update: Warmer, wetter, but not more severe
I wanted to try something a bit different for the Monthly Outlook for December. This time I put it into a little newsletter-looking thing. This isn’t going to be the “norm” for out I kick…
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Gulf Coast Winter Outlook 2021-2022: Pt. 3 – Month-by-Month breakdown
If this is the first part of this three-part series that you are seeing and you want to catch up, you can check out the previous two posts on the Winter Outlook by following these…
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2021-2022 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook – Pt. 2
After four-consecutive “wins” at seasonal forecasting, two years ago I gave myself a C-. And last year’s Outlook was, in a word, not great. It felt like I missed nearly every place I tried to…
Gulf Coast Seasonal Outlook: Summer 2021
Better late than never, right? I was planning on having this done in mid-May but with the move, my sister’s wedding and starting a new job, I have to kick this can about two or…
VIDEO: Climate Prediction Center releases Spring Outlook
The Climate Prediction Center, CPC, released the Spring Outlook today. The forecasters at the CPC also produce those 8-14 day outlooks, the monthly outlooks and other seasonal forecasts. Today, day released their Spring Outlook that…
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