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Almost nothing. Okay, okay. Now I’m just being silly. El Nino sure has done a good number on our Hurricane Season so far. So perhaps “nothing” is a bit of an under-sell. El Nino is…
Read more of Folks wanna know: “What does the Super El Nino mean for me, Nick?”
28 named storms. 15 hurricanes. 7 major hurricanes. More than $160 billion in U.S. damage. And so many storms that forecasters ran out of names. But those numbers only begin to tell the story of…
Read more of Understanding 2005: An Analysis of One of the Most Extreme Atlantic Hurricane Seasons
If you have ever complained that the weather forecast is wrong, you are not alone. People depend on accurate forecasts every day to decide what to wear, what to do, and how the rest of…
Read more of The Evolution of Weather Forecasting: Why We Still Get It Wrong
Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region as a Category 4 hurricane on September 26, 2024. As usual, most people expected the greatest impacts to be near the coast from storm surge and…
Read more of Why Was Hurricane Helene Catastrophically Worse Inland Than It Was On The Coast?
Introduction You’ve probably heard of the term “flash flood” before, after all, it is one of the most common weather events in the deep south, especially in the spring and summer. Something that fewer people…
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season starts in just a few days, and NOAA’s 2026 Hurricane Season Outlook gives a 55% chance of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, with 1–3…
Read more of Local Weather History: Billion Dollar Betsy – 5/28/26
I got a great question from Sarah regarding our recent shot of cold. She was curious about why this year was so weird. Seems like this cold, to her, is sticking around longer than normal.…
I’ve heard from a good number of folks that have said, “My creek is more full today than any other time since I moved here in the 80s!” or “My pond wasn’t even this full…
Read more of Lotta Watta! A brief look at the recent rain vs. the 2016 floods
Hello everyone! Thanks for taking the time to read my first research post. If you follow Nick on Facebook, you may have seen my post about climate change in our forecast area. I explained how…
Imagine sitting down at a poker table and watching the dealer remove the King and Nine of Hearts, the Ten and Three of Clubs, the Six and Jack of Spades, and the Four and Nine…
Read more of Forecasting with a Partial Deck in Mother Nature’s Casino
