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If you have ever complained that the weather forecast is wrong, you are not alone. People depend on accurate forecasts every day to decide what to wear, what to do, and how the rest of…
Read more of The Evolution of Weather Forecasting: Why We Still Get It Wrong
Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend region as a Category 4 hurricane on September 26, 2024. As usual, most people expected the greatest impacts to be near the coast from storm surge and…
Read more of Why Was Hurricane Helene Catastrophically Worse Inland Than It Was On The Coast?
Introduction You’ve probably heard of the term “flash flood” before, after all, it is one of the most common weather events in the deep south, especially in the spring and summer. Something that fewer people…
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season starts in just a few days, and NOAA’s 2026 Hurricane Season Outlook gives a 55% chance of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with 8–14 named storms, 3–6 hurricanes, with 1–3…
Read more of Local Weather History: Billion Dollar Betsy – 5/28/26
I got a great question from Sarah regarding our recent shot of cold. She was curious about why this year was so weird. Seems like this cold, to her, is sticking around longer than normal.…
I’ve heard from a good number of folks that have said, “My creek is more full today than any other time since I moved here in the 80s!” or “My pond wasn’t even this full…
Read more of Lotta Watta! A brief look at the recent rain vs. the 2016 floods
Hello everyone! Thanks for taking the time to read my first research post. If you follow Nick on Facebook, you may have seen my post about climate change in our forecast area. I explained how…
Imagine sitting down at a poker table and watching the dealer remove the King and Nine of Hearts, the Ten and Three of Clubs, the Six and Jack of Spades, and the Four and Nine…
Read more of Forecasting with a Partial Deck in Mother Nature’s Casino
I can hear some of you now: “Oh boy. Here Nick goes again!” Guilty as charged! I went down a bit of a rabbit hole this morning trying to shake out some of the Christmas…
Hello there; thanks for taking the time to read this research. This is my second piece of research for the summer, and I have decided to switch things up from my last research paper. This…
Read more of Second research project: how weather models can improve upslope snowfall forecasting
