We’re just two days away from our official hurricane season! Looks like we’re off to a great start with no activity expected in the Atlantic basin for the next 7 days! We can thank the Saharan dust (SAL), dry air, and strong wind shear for keeping would-be storms from getting organized. Sea surface temperatures are warm enough to support development, but with it still being early summer, the key ingredients aren’t ready yet. As a result, the Atlantic remains calm as we dive into hurricane season.
The countdown to hurricane season is almost over. With June 1st right around the corner, let’s unpack NOAA’s forecast for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season…
As we see above, NOAA is predicting a below-average Atlantic hurricane season, which is great news! When we compare this to the 2025 Atlantic forecast below (season ended with 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes), we can see that the forecast was pretty accurate and we landed a little on the low side, which was a blessing! This was a season for the books because for the first time in a decade, not a single hurricane made landfall in the United States!
As always, it only takes one storm to make a season memorable, so now is the time to review your hurricane preparedness plans and stay weather-aware.
