The first seasonal forecast for Winter from NOAA was released the other day. It looks very La Nina like. That is expected, though. La Nina is anticipated to continue through Fall and into Winter. With…
Category: Seasonal Outlooks
NOAA releases 2022 Hurricane Season Outlook: a look at the numbers, the forecast, the errors, and how to stay prepared this season
NOAA released their 2022 Hurricane season outlook today calling for an above-average season. This should come as no surprise. In the heels of the last few years, the lingering La Nina and the Colorado State…
12/3/21 Gulf Coast December Outlook Update: Warmer, wetter, but not more severe
I wanted to try something a bit different for the Monthly Outlook for December. This time I put it into a little newsletter-looking thing. This isn’t going to be the “norm” for out I kick…
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Gulf Coast Winter Outlook 2021-2022: Pt. 3 – Month-by-Month breakdown
If this is the first part of this three-part series that you are seeing and you want to catch up, you can check out the previous two posts on the Winter Outlook by following these…
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2021-2022 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook – Pt. 2
After four-consecutive “wins” at seasonal forecasting, two years ago I gave myself a C-. And last year’s Outlook was, in a word, not great. It felt like I missed nearly every place I tried to…
Gulf Coast Seasonal Outlook: Summer 2021
Better late than never, right? I was planning on having this done in mid-May but with the move, my sister’s wedding and starting a new job, I have to kick this can about two or…
VIDEO: Climate Prediction Center releases Spring Outlook
The Climate Prediction Center, CPC, released the Spring Outlook today. The forecasters at the CPC also produce those 8-14 day outlooks, the monthly outlooks and other seasonal forecasts. Today, day released their Spring Outlook that…
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2020-2021 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook
After four-consecutive “wins” at seasonal forecasting, last year’s Outlook was, in a word, not great. It felt like I missed nearly every place I tried to get right. Okay, it wasn’t that bad. I gave…
2019-2020 Winter Outlook verification: It was “drier-than-normal”
Well, it sure felt like a wet and mild winter, but feelings can be vastly different from fact. And they usually are. Our brain tends to get int eh way of remembering objective observations. That…
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South Mississippi 2019-2020 Winter Outlook
The Preamble Just like last year, don’t worry, I know that there are, like, infinity “Winter Outlooks” floating aorund the web. Everyone has one of these. And they all say something different. They all have…
