Ah, the “thunder in February, frost in April” saying. Works every time, right? Well, not quite. This is an “old wives tale” that a lot of gardeners and farmers still use. And it is circulated…
Category: Archive
Forecast update on Slight Risk for South Mississippi
Good (late) evening, everyone. There is still the opportunity for severe weather tomorrow for south Mississippi. A few things have changed, but the timing remains about the same. Changes Some threats have remained the same,…
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Slight Risk for severe weather extended into South Mississippi
The Storm Prediction Center is having server issues, but has included parts of the Pine Belt and southern Mississippi in the Slight Risk for severe weather. Other sections have been added to the Marginal Risk,…
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South Mississippi braces for more severe weather
As if the January 21st event wasn’t enough, Mother Nature is preparing to send another round of storms through south Mississippi. Thankfully, this time doesn’t look as bad. The Setup As an area of low…
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WPC watching Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama for flooding
SUMMARY…STRONG SYNOPTIC FORCING AND STRONG MST FLUX THOUGH PROGRESSIVE NATURE MAY POSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING THREAT FOR TRAINING CONVECTION. DISCUSSION…GOES-E WV LOOP DENOTES A CONSOLIDATING SHORTWAVE FEATURE ALONG THE CENTRAL TX COAST LIFTING NORTHEAST WITH…
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Latest Mesoscale Discussion includes Louisiana, Mississippi
(NOTE: THIS POST WILL BE CONTINUALLY UPDATED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH NEW DATA AS IT IS AVAILABLE) 12:33a CST UPDATE: Mesoscale Analysis details Latest model data shows a nose of Mixed-Layer CAPE values…
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WPC concerned about flash flooding for Mississippi
VALID 191456Z – 191811Z SUMMARY…ONGOING CONVECTION/CELL MERGERS WITHIN INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS THROUGH 18Z…WITH SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION…MID-MORNING RADAR MOSAIC…
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SPC Monitoring weekend storms in Southeast
As we look toward the weekend an area of low pressure, with a batch of cold air aloft will slide from New Mexico and west Texas across the southeast. It will open the door for…
SPC concerned about ice accumulations for Texas Oklahoma, Kansas
The SPC is concerned about freezing rain for the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles as well as parts of Kansas. From the SPC: SUMMARY…The risk for freezing rain accompanying showers and thunderstorms will spread northward/northeastward through…
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Chaos Theory and Forecasting
Back in 2003, Crystal Ives was a student at Oregon State in Physics 407 – Life, the Universe and Everything. It was a a class to discuss those borderland regions where modern science, philosophy, and…