The past few weeks have been brutal temperature wise for the southeastern US. Not the pleasant fall welcoming we were hoping for. Heat records have been broken almoyst each day since the start of the new season. Mid to upper 90s for highs have easily created some miserable weather conditions. Plus the lack of moisture has suspended any type of rain system to bring any relief.
However, we finally are tracking our first little hint of relief! Circulations around the Rocky Mountains have spawned a weak mid latitude cyclone that is in the process of drawing in cooler air towards the south. It is likely that we will see a decent drop in our high temperatures, by at least 15 degrees!
GFS estimates that the frontal boundary will begin advancing southward by Monday. The front is still on the weaker side as the temperature gradient is not quite as strong as it could be, but we will certainly take whatever we can! The model is forecasting the front to pass Monday evening that will bring our highs into the mid 80s and lows in the mid 60s. This trend will follow at least till about Saturday when we could see Another front that would really keep us cool! Still a little uncertainty with that, but if models trend this for the next few days, it will become more likely.
Not expecting a washout, but rain chances will be higher with conjunction of the front. Vertical velocity is fairly scattered and weak. This means that lift is not very prominent in the atmosphere, which would prevent any heavy rainmakers. You can still expect a few more scattered showers than we have seen in the past few days, but the lack of moisture and lift will be a bit of barrier to aid with the dryness.
