Severe Weather Potential – 4/23/14 Pt. 2

As the clouds clear and the daytime heating commences across the southern plains, the threat for severe weather is intensifying. And so is the wind. Gusts to 45 mph are being felt across parts of…

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Southern Plains forecast remains “up in the air”

(UPDATE 12:00 PM) If you are here checking on today’s severe weather potential, please see our latest thoughts on today’s event here (ORIGINAL ARTICLE: 5:00 PM) It’s not often that the closer you get to…

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Severe weather possible across Southern Plains Wednesday

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma is watching parts of the Southern Plains and Great Plains for severe weather on Wednesday. Right now, most computer weather models show modest instability, a weak cap, and…

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Works Cited: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

Gulf of Alaska sea surface temperatures – Here Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures – Here ENSO sea surface temperatures – Here Texas and Oklahoma panhandle tornado data – Here Texas and Oklahoma panhandle historical…

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Correlation found between SST, rainfall and TX/OK panhandle tornadoes

I’ve completed my study of the last 20 or so years of tornadoes across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. I’ve made a few interesting discoveries. You can read about those discoveries here. While more research…

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Introduction: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

The landscape of the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles isn’t considered dynamic, but the atmosphere above it can be. Each spring forecasters attempt to predict the chances for severe weather and try to determine where that…

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Methods: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

Using the database of information offered by the National Weather Service (NWS) in Amarillo, Texas, the number of tornado reports and tornado days was established. From there, the number of “Spring” tornadoes was established removing…

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Findings: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

There was a correlation between the weighted totals of the standard deviations from the mean of the anomalies of GoA SST, GoM SST, Previous Precipitation, ENSO SST when compared against the total number of tornadoes…

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Conclusion: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

There is a lot about forecasting severe weather season across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandle that is controlled regionally and even locally. This statistical analysis does not take that into account. There are too many…

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