Brief Cooldown This Weekend, Then More Average Temperatures Next Week – Weekly Outlook for South MS/LA/AL 2/6/26

We’re beginning to even out fairly early in February which means that it’s going to stay fairly mild for the next week or so. Overall temperatures will be in the 60s-70s during the day and…

Read more of Brief Cooldown This Weekend, Then More Average Temperatures Next Week – Weekly Outlook for South MS/LA/AL 2/6/26

Research – MS/AL/LA’s unique climate history; how sulfates may have played a part in keeping our area cool for the past century

Hello everyone! Thanks for taking the time to read my first research post. If you follow Nick on Facebook, you may have seen my post about climate change in our forecast area. I explained how…

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Christmas Weather History of Southern MS/AL/LA

I can hear some of you now: “Oh boy. Here Nick goes again!” Guilty as charged! I went down a bit of a rabbit hole this morning trying to shake out some of the Christmas…

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National Forecast for 7/21/24: Hot in the West, monsoonal moisture in the Southern Rockies, and Shaharen dust for Florida

Happy Sunday, I hope that your weekend is going well. We have quite a lot to talk about for this forecast, so let’s get into it. Looking out west, we have an extremely strong upper-level…

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Second research project: how weather models can improve upslope snowfall forecasting

Hello there; thanks for taking the time to read this research. This is my second piece of research for the summer, and I have decided to switch things up from my last research paper. This…

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Tropical Outlook for 6/28/24: Three areas of disturbances to watch out for

Even though it’s only June, we currently have 3 areas of disturbances in the Atlantic basin. The first disturbance area is located in the western part of the Gulf of Mexico and has a 30%…

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Worst drought for Southern MS/AL/LA since Sept 2000, with some improvement possible as we close out 2023

If you’ve been saying, “Man, it’s dry!” you’d be right. Looking back through the archives of the Drought Monitor, this is the worst drought for the region since September of 2000. By coincidence, that was…

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Severe thunderstorms tonight in southern Kansas before summer is in full swing for all: Kansas Agriculture Forecast – 6/27/2023

Greetings! Hi everybody! My name is Kaden Schroeder and I am excited to debut agriculture forecasts once a week for central/eastern Kansas. Special thanks goes to Nick Lilja for giving me the opportunity to do…

Read more of Severe thunderstorms tonight in southern Kansas before summer is in full swing for all: Kansas Agriculture Forecast – 6/27/2023

NickelBlock Forecasting 2023 Hurricane Season Outlook: Analogs suggest up to 6 tropical systems in the Gulf this Hurricane Season

I’m sure that got your attention. But six topical systems in the Gulf is pretty typical. On the average, since 2000, we’ve seen between 4 and 6 tropical systems (that includes tropical depressions) in the…

Read more of NickelBlock Forecasting 2023 Hurricane Season Outlook: Analogs suggest up to 6 tropical systems in the Gulf this Hurricane Season

Flooding continues as transcontinental front stays stalled, Texas continues to dry up as its neighbors see most of the rain, and heatwave expected for Midwest next week: CONUS Forecast – 7/30/22

I would like to start off this post by saying my heart goes out to my home state of Kentucky where its eastern residents have been impacted by a major flooding event which has claimed…

Read more of Flooding continues as transcontinental front stays stalled, Texas continues to dry up as its neighbors see most of the rain, and heatwave expected for Midwest next week: CONUS Forecast – 7/30/22