Cold front to move across Midwest with unseasonably cold temperatures behind it, showers and thunderstorms along front, snow in Northern Plains: CONUS Friday-Sunday Forecast – 10/26/2023

Temperature estimate 4 PM CDT Friday according to HRRR model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

Heading into the weekend, a cold front is making its way across the central US and into the Midwest. The front will progress southeastward during the weekend, bringing unseasonably cold temperatures to some areas, particularly across the Plains. The northern Plains and Mountain West states will see very cold low temperatures, dipping into the teens and even single digits in some areas. Meanwhile, ahead of the cold front, the Southeast will see warm temperatures throughout the weekend, with highs in the upper 70s and 80s.

Temperature estimate 4 PM Sunday according to NAM model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather
Radar reflectivity estimate 4 PM Sunday according to NAM model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

Showers and thunderstorms will form along the front and bring rain to the South Central US, the Midwest, and eventually the Northeast as the front progresses. Severe potential remains limited owing to relatively weak instability ahead of the front and insufficient shear in the areas where instability is greater. The SPC currently does not have any severe risk areas highlighted over the weekend. If any severe threat materializes, it will likely be isolated.

Snowfall estimate between 1 PM CDT Thursday and 1 AM CDT Monday according to NAM model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

The heavy snowfall that affected Montana and the Dakotas this week will move out into Canada early Friday morning, but lighter snow is likely in the northern Plains (particularly Nebraska and South Dakota) and Midwest on Saturday.

Elsewhere, mainly sunny conditions are forecast in the West Coast states, Southwest, and Southeast.



Author of the article:


Patrick Kulynych

I am a recent graduate from the University of Alabama in Huntsville with a Bachelor's Degree in atmospheric science. My focus is on forecasting, especially for severe weather events. It is my dream to one day live out in the Great Plains, where I can not only forecast as a career but also go out and chase storms as a hobby!