Despite snow in Jackson, Pine Belt still playing ‘waiting game’ till Sunday morning

If you’ve been scrolling through the ole interwebs, you may have come across some posts in Jackson, Vicksburg, and points north where snow is flying.

The amtosphere up north is a bit more snow-friendly:

They check all the boxes.

For the rest of the Pine Belt, though, we are still in a ‘holding pattern’ waiting for things to cool down and moisten up.

02z HRRR forecast sounding for the region around 2a // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather.com

Through about 3am, this is what the atmosphere looks like mathematically. We have a handful of ‘check marks’ giving us the green light for wintry precip, but not all of them. And one of the ‘check marks’ is good for cooling down, but not good for warming up.

So it is a bit complicated, which is why the chance for anything wintry between now and 3a is very low.

Beyond that, though, it does look like some novelty flurries become a bit more possible toward sunrise. Here is a look at a forecast sounding for 7a showing not much forcing in the Dendritic Growth Zone, but some forcing closer to the surface – where it is still below-freezing.

02z HRRR forecast sounding for the region around 7a // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather.com

This type of setup is the perfect ice crystal flurry setup for South Mississippi. In fact, we had a very similar event last year.

What did the forecast sounding look like, you ask?

Look familiar? It happened in 2018, too.

So as you wake up tomorrow morning, take a peek out the window from time to time, and you may be able to see little tiny snowflakes cruising by in the wind. There is a chance some spots may see some heavier snow flurries and snow showers at times, but we are still looking at no accumulating snow as the most likely scenario.

I’ll have an update in the morning!



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.