National Hurricane Center increases chance of development to 50-percent

Author: || Published: 7/7/2019 at 11:50am

The National Hurricane Center released its 2PM update. Not a big change, but a slight up-tick in the chance for development.

Area of interest from the NHC // Courtesy: NHC.NOAA.GOV

From the NHC:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure over the southeastern United States is forecast to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days. Thereafter, upper-level winds support gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late week while the low meanders near the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast through Friday. Interests along the northern Gulf Coast and Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.


Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.