A new area of interest in the tropics: A hype-free forecast

The National Hurricane Center has updated their forecast to include an area of interest in the Gulf of Mexico. The NHC also gives this area a 20-percent chance of development. The National Hurricane Center Forecast…

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An economists statistical rebuttal to seasonal hurricane forecasts

I received an email the other day from Ty Black, a former University of Southern Mississippi professor in Economics, regarding seasonal hurricane predictions. On the heels of the Colorado State seasonal prediction, national media outlets…

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