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An area of showers and thunderstorms are firing up off the coast of Costa Rica. With converging winds, very low wind shear, warm ocean waters, and a semi-moist layer aloft, the odds are looking pretty…
Read more of 06/22/25 Tropical Outlook – Odds of Development Increase in the Pacific
It is likely that by the time you read this, Erick will be little more than a remnant low pressure. A far cry from what it was just before landfall Wednesday morning. This storm underwent…
Read more of 06/20/25 Tropical Outlook – In Erick’s Wake; More Trouble in the Pacific
Thanks to the trough and cold front to our north, another day of thunderstorms is possible. Models agree that a squall line (or to use a fancy meteorological term, a mesoscale convective system, or MCS…
The East Pacific is shaping up to be a tropical storm factory early in the season. There are two distinct areas where development is possible, one is a system southwest of Mexico that could get…
Read more of 06/06/25 Tropical Forecast – Double Trouble in the Pacific
Tropical Storm Alvin has run its course. All that’s left of it now is some extratropical moisture in the Great Plains, which may provide some fuel for a severe weather risk. As of writing, the…
Read more of 06/03/25 – Tropical Update: Two Areas to Watch; One in Each Ocean
The National Hurricane Center has officially, as predicted by yesterday’s forecast by Matthew, given the name of Alvin to the disturbance we’ve been following south of Mexico, meaning it’s become organized and has sustained winds…
It’s been another generally quiet week for hurricane activity in the United States, and I am expecting this trend to continue for the next several days. Looking into the Atlantic, I am expecting no tropical…
Our El Nino is working over time this week as the Pacific remains active while Atlantic activity remains muted. In the Pacific, we are watching two new areas of interested after the two areas we…
Read more of Pacific Activity Increases While the Atlantic Sleeps. Tropical Update 7/7/2023
When the East Pacific woke up, it woke up quickly. Hurricane Adrian is currently strengthening in the open waters of the Pacific as it’s window for intensification begins to close. Behind, Tropical Storm Beatriz may…
