Before I get to the forecast, I want to take a sentence or two to say thank you to all of our Veterans. I recognize I wouldn’t be able to do the things I do without the sacrifice of many, many, many brave men and women across the country. So I want to say thank you for serving this great country of ours and protecting our freedoms. That takes bravery, sure, but it also takes discipline and selflessness. That’s a lot of stuff a lot of us don’t have. But you do. And you chose to use it to keep us safe. Thank you.
Okay, okay. Enough of my gushin’ about how much I love and appreciate our service members… Onto the forecast!
We are about to get an early taste of Winter! The pattern will align so that we get three shots of cold air during the next two weeks. No real chance for snow (sorry kids) but we could see a chance for a frost or two, we will reduce the threat for any severe weather, and we will be importing air from as far away as the Yukon Territories of Canada and even extreme northeastern Russia!
Here si a look at the reverse trajectories from the HYSPLIT model by NOAA. This looks at where air at a certain time came from given the model guidance.
Behind the next three cold fronts we get some chilly air. Pretty wild stuff! We get to import air from the east coast of Russia along the Bering Sea, the coast of the Arctic Ocean, and Nunavut!
So, as you can imagine, we won’t be seeing the 80s much in the coming two weeks once the train of fronts starts. And there won’t be as much of a risk for severe weather. There will be some rain, but historically these types of fronts and patterns don’t produce “big” rain.
Model guidance suggests a casual 1.5″ to 3″ in total during the next two weeks. And that is probably a bit too generous.
If you are curious about Thanksgiving specifically, the interesting thing is this whole pattern starts to fall apart as we move toward Thanksgiving. And we may actually see a stout warm-up leading into Turkey Day ahead of the next front falling out of Canada.
The reality is, though, this next front looks like one that will be more likely on a trajectory toward the Mid-Atlantic region and not the Southeast. So, we just see return flow from the Gulf and temperatures running above-normal.
But we are still a long way out and there is plenty to still monitor with the potentials.
DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today
Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Tonight
Passing clouds with a few showers possible after midnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible before noon. Highs around 60. Breezy. North winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
Sunday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
Monday
Increasing clouds with showers possible in the afternoon and evening. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Monday Night
Cloudy with rain and thunder. Severe weather not anticipated. Lows around 50. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the morning. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40.
Wednesday
Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
Thursday
Partly sunny. Highs around 60.
Thank you for the kind words toward our veterans. And, no, it is NEVER enough, not when you consider how many gave EVERYTHING so that we can be free today.