2/5/20 12:15AM UPDATE: Gulf Coast severe weather threat for Wednesday (with updated Karrie Meter)

The SPC is continuing the Slight Risk for severe weather for sections of the Gulf Coast. As the next system swings through it will open the door for showers and storms to develop across the…

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In Blob We Trust: A Gulf Coast severe weather model data update

UPDATE (Monday, 9am): The Storm Prediction Center has decreased the severe weather risk to a Marginal risk for sections – but not all – of Mississippi, Louisiana and Alabama. The SPC notes: “This should be…

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Gulf Coast faces severe threat Wednesday, February 5th

The Storm Prediction Center continues to monitor the region for the potential for severe weather. From the SPC: …Tuesday/Day 4 to Thursday/Day 6… The medium-range models move an upper-level trough across the Four Corners region…

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1/10/20 Late PM Update: Southeast severe threat

Alrighty, friends. Here is the deal: Upstream, thunderstorm activity is picking up across parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas and a sliver of Louisiana. These storms will ride a front to the east-southeast across parts of…

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1/7/20 9AM UPDATE: January 11th SE Severe Threat

Welp… Another day, another update. Today I want to pull some of the analogs to highlight how past setups have faired. Before we get there, though, here is a quick snapshot (hat tip to Pivotal…

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New year, same Mother Nature: Gulf Coast severe threat Jan 10-12

1/5/20 UPDATE: The SPC has now included parts of the Gulf Coast under a Slight Risk for severe weather for Friday and Saturday. For more information, head here. On that page, you can scroll down…

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Much of the Southeast faces flooding potential Thursday through Saturday

Happy new Year! At least it isn’t tornadoes, right? As the next system swings through the Gulf Coast, there is the potential for heavy rain and flooding. And while severe weather can’t be ruled out,…

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7/10/19 Overnight update for Invest92L

Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019 For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad low pressure area located over the…

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Hype-free look at Gulf Coast tropical activity for next week

Well, that didn’t take long did it? After a handful of models starting to come into agreement that something may develop off the east coast or in the Gulf, the scare-tactic posts have begun. In…

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Early Wed AM South Mississippi severe weather update for 4/18/19 SVR threat

The Storm Prediction Center has continue the Enhanced Risk for the Gulf Coast region. And we are now getting into the timeframe where we can start to talk about specifics. A couple of things to…

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