8/25/21 Invest 99L forecast/model update

The National Hurricane Center designated the little area of disorganized storms in the Caribbean as Invest 99L. That allows the NHC to start running specialized tropical forecast models on the system. There is still a…

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8/24/21 South Mississippi Forecast update w/ tropical details

During the next few days, the overall pattern is going to persist. Temperatures will continue to run in the 90s with Heat Index values around 105. High pressure is still in control across parts of…

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Tropical Storm Fred Pt. 2 – It is back, and it is kidney bean shaped

A few things happened overnight with Fred. Frist off, Fred is a Tropical Strom again. And it is headed toward the Florida panhandle. Again. The center of Fred reformed under an explosion of convection well…

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8/14/21: Fred ain’t dead yet – Mississippi/Alabama in the Forecast Cone

The Tropical Storm formerly known as Fred couldn’t have taken a more difficult path to the Gulf of Mexico. After waltzing through the Caribbean like Sideshow Bob moves through a field of rakes, it decided…

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8/11/21 7PM Tropical Storm Fred update

It is still out there. It is still getting beat up by Hispaniola. And I wouldn’t worry too much about it. Given the available data, the overall pattern atmospherically, and the timeline laid out by…

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Tropics remain on “pause” for now, but not forever

Looking at the latest data regarding the forecast for the tropics during the next few weeks, and things may start to get a bit more active. Not tons active, but more active. And “more” active…

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7/3/21 130PM Tropical Update: Tropical Storm Elsa

Tropical Storm Elsa is, well, a Tropical Storm… again. After a brief existence as a Hurricane, the system has moved into a less-favorable environment and weakened back to a Tropical Storm. The Hurricane Hunters have…

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6/14/21 Tropical Update: T.D. Two, Invest 92L and another Tropical Wave

It is like the start of a bad joke, am I right? So, T.D. Two, Invest 92L and another Tropical Wave walk into a bar… Bartender says “hey, we don’t like dealing with your kind…

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