TD5 now Tropical Storm Dorian, NHC forecast shows potential hurricane by Tuesday

8/24/19 4PM CDT NHC Update on TRopical Storm Dorian // Courtesy: nhc.noaa.gov

Tropical Depression Five is now Tropical Storm Dorian. The storm continues to organize and strengthen east of the great & Lesser Antilles.

Latest model data continues to show strengthening, but the model guidance is starting to catch up to what the National Hurricane Center has been forecasting.

Model data guidance

Dorian intensity guidance // Courtesy: Tropical Tidbits

The afternoon model guidance for intensity shows, now, a better chance that Dorian is a strong Tropical Storm by Thursday of next week.

The storms’ track is still locked into where it was earlier this morning.

Dorian track guidance // Courtesy: Tropical Tidbits

The Ensemble guidance from the GFS computer weather model has shifted the track a bit to the north, closer to the ECMWF computer weahter model guidance.

GEFS track guidance for Dorian // Courtesy: Tropical Tidbits

What should you do for now?

Check your Hurricane Preparedness Kit. That’s about it. Make sure you have enough supplies to last a few days without power and water.

Not because this system is anticipated to wipe out power and water to an area, but rather, you should always have enough supplies to last a few days without power and water during Hurricane season.





Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.