Thunderstorms on trend for today – Forecast refresh 7/5/2026

Howdy! Hope you all had a fun time celebrating the Fourth of July yesterday! Make sure to watch my video forecast below.

Looking out the window, we can see that there is some activity going on currently, some showers and thunderstorms building up in much of southern Louisiana and Mississippi, some of which have a severe thunderstorm warning along with them. We can see the storms building up over Louisiana in the satellite image below which is always super cool to see.

No big change to the forecast since yesterday. Today is looking to be a hot and humid day, chance to see showers and thunderstorms for pretty much the entire region today. Heat indices will reach above 100, highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s depending on where the rain will fall.

Courtesy: COD Forecast Models

There is a very moist airmass over the region currently that will support destabilization and buoyancy to support the development of stronger thunderstorms. The SPC has put most of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama under a marginal severe weather risk, meaning there is a chance that these storms develop into severe storms producing locally heavy rainfall, lightning, and strong winds (winds being the main threat especially for central portions of Mississippi and Alabama).

Courtesy: SPC Severe Weather Outlook

This is no change since yesterday, and tomorrow the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue. This will be the general trend for the next few days! Thank you so much for reading and have a good rest of your Sunday!



Author of the article:


Summer Carrington

Summer is currently an undergraduate student at Texas A&M University pursuing her Bachelor of Science in meteorology. She is an active member of TAMSCAMS, the student meteorology organization at Texas A&M, and will serve as the Assistant Broadcast Coordinator for TAMU Weather during the 2026–2027 school year! Her favorite weather phenomenon is lightning, and she has a strong interest in all things related to tropical weather.

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