Tropical Forecast – 8/3/26

Both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans are quiet! The National Hurricane Center (NHC) doesn’t expect tropical cyclone activity over the next 7 days.

Courtesy of NHC

The Gulf sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are mostly in the optimal range for tropical development. The Atlantic SSTs are slightly below to optimal for tropical development. Towards the Northeast, SSTs start to become less optimal for development. Lastly, the Pacific SSTs seem to be optimal towards the west coast of Mexico. The west coast here is too cool to support tropical development.

Courtesy of OSPO
Courtesy of OSPO
Courtesy of OSPO

The wind shear in the Gulf remains low for most of the week. In the Atlantic, wind shear is moderate to strong at the beginning of the week. Also, the wind shear in the Caribbean is very strong. In summary, the areas of low wind shear are much more favorable for tropical development.

Courtesy of Tropical Tidbits


Author of the article:


Morgan Vogt

Morgan is a meteorology student at the University of South Alabama. She is the Meteorology Club's Secretary and was last year's Freshmen Liaison! She enjoys being involved on campus by playing volleyball at the Student Recreation Center and playing intramural sports. What interested her the most about meteorology is severe weather and the climatology side. In her free time, she likes to read and listen to music.

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