Moisture will return after a brief dry, relieving period: Forecast refresh – 8/4/2026

Howdy!

Check out my video forecast below!

Currently (around 12pm CST), there is a little clouds over the region but not a lot, some showers already in Louisiana and Alabama to start off the afternoon.

Cloud coverage will increase slightly as the day progresses, a majority of the region will still be seeing plenty of sunshine today.

Today we remain in drier conditions, the low just over Georgia bringing with it dry air circulating in the midlevels. Temperatures will still be hot today, but it won’t feel as bad due to the dryness. In the mid-level water vapor image below, the low can be seen over Georgia and also the dry air (yellow/orange) that is over the region currently.

Courtesy: COD Satellite Imagery

Some isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible as moisture remains in the lower levels, especially along the coast, but not everyone will get rain. The chance of rain will increase as the week progresses.

Courtesy: COD Forecast Models

By late in the day tomorrow into Thursday, we will start to see return of moisture with onshore flow. The upper-low will start to be carried out of the area, allowing a shift in the flow from northwesterly to southerly. This, along with the attempt of the high to the east wanting to shift into the area will bring with it plenty of moisture that will support the development of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for the rest of the week.

Temperatures will remain relatively the same, but heat index values will start to reach above 100 degrees once again. Heat stress will be another risk, along with any of the stronger thunderstorms producing locally heavy rainfall, strong winds, and frequent lightning. This is a more summertime weather pattern though, precipitation dependent mainly on daytime heating and any boundaries.

With this moisture, though, the potential for heavy rainfall returns by the weekend. We will continue to monitor this potential and any impacts it will have. Thanks for reading and have a great rest of your day!



Author of the article:


Summer Carrington

Summer is currently an undergraduate student at Texas A&M University pursuing her Bachelor of Science in meteorology. She is an active member of TAMSCAMS, the student meteorology organization at Texas A&M, and will serve as the Assistant Broadcast Coordinator for TAMU Weather during the 2026–2027 school year! Her favorite weather phenomenon is lightning, and she has a strong interest in all things related to tropical weather.

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