A Low-level pressure bring in stormy weather: SW MS Weather Forecast – 8/9/22

Hello everyone, the low-pressure system has entered the Gulf of Mexico to provide another chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon in SW MS. In the morning, it will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy with a low temp in the low 70s Then in the afternoon, it will be starting to ramp up as the developing scattered thunderstorms and showers will starting to approach in the SW MS. The dew point temperatures will be in the low 70s throughout the day.

GFS 500 mb Height and Wind at 1pm CDT // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

This weak low-pressure system will be stuck between the two high pressure system for the next few days. Depending, on how close the high pressure system to the low pressure system migh limit amount of room for it to develop showers and thunderstorms. The reason for this because the high pressure will cause a sinking motion to limit any convection for the storms to develop.

GFS 2m AGL Temperature at 1pm CDT // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

It seems like the high temperature will vary with the amount of cold relief from the rain will hit in SW MS. It will most likely will be in the upper 80s for the high temperature.

HRRR 1km AGL Reflectivity at 7am to 6pm CDT // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

Most of the early morning, the storms will develop in the Gulf of Mexico and slowly going up north. After 10am to 11am CDT, the storms will start developing from scattered thunderstorms to widespread in the afternoon hours.



Day to Day Forecast

Tuesday
Mostly cloudy in the morning to 60-percent chance of scattered thunderstorms and showers in the afternoon. With a high temp in the upper 80s and a low temp in the low 70s. The heat index will be up to mid 90s.

Wednesday
Partly cloudy in the morning to 70- percent chance of scattered thunderstorms and showers in the afternoon. With a high temp in the upper 80s and a low temp in the low 70s. The heat index will be up to low 90s.

Thursday
Partly cloudy in the morning to 70- percent chance of scattered thunderstorms and showers in the afternoon. With a high temp in the mid 80s and a low temp in the low 70s. The heat index will be up to low 90s.

Friday
Mostly sunny in the morning to 60-percent chance of scattered thunderstorms and showers in the afternoon. With a high temp in the upper 80s and a low temp in the low 70s. The heat index will be up to mid 90s.

Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a 30-percent chance of a stray thunderstorm or shower in the afternoon. With a high temp in the upper 80s and a low temp in the low 70s. The heat index will be up to mid 90s.

Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a 30-percent chance of a stray thunderstorm or shower in the afternoon. With a high temp in the low 90s and a low temp in the low 70s. The heat index will be up to mid 90s.

Monday
Mostly sunny, with a 20-percent chance of a stray thunderstorm or shower in the afternoon. With a high temp in the low 90s and a low temp in the low 70s.The heat index will be up to upper 90s.



Author of the article:


Alexis Carranza