High pressure in control as we monitor the track of Invest 96L: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 9/13/22

High pressure will continue to hang with us for the next few days. That will keep skies mostly clear and overnight lows reasonably comfortable. That this should hold all the way through Friday, which means your Friday night football games should feel like Football Weather

500mb map for Thursday morning // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

With high pressure in control, the weather will be rather pleasant for the next few days. But that same ridging may eventually be something worth watching for more than just nice weather. As we monitor what happens with Invest 96L.

The next potential tropical system is set to move toward the Caribbean during the next few days, and will likely slide by the islands. The hurricane models move it across the northern tier of the Leeward Islands.

Invest 96L tracks // Courtesy: University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee

Other model guidance, from the global ensembles, suggests a similar track.

Tropical Tidbits GEFS track image on the left with the Alan Brammer Euro image on the right

As it gets toward the Bahamas, the placement of the ridging and the level of organization of 95L will dictate where it goes at this point. A more organized and farther west ridge, will allow 96L to move more northward. A farther east ridge and a less organized 96L, and 96L will have a higher chance to drift into the Gulf.

500mb map for Tuesday of next week // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

But that is still more than seven days away. And plenty can change and happen between now and then. For the moment, the National Hurricane Center is holding the ‘medium’ chance for development during the next five days.

Afternoon Tropical Outlook // Courtesy: nhc.noaa.gov


DAY TO DAY FORECAST

Tonight
Mostly clear. Lows near 60.

Wednesday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Wednesday Night
Clear. Lows in the lower 60s.

Thursday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Thursday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.

Friday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Friday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.

Saturday
Sunny and a shower or storm can’t be ruled out. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 10 percent.

Saturday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.

Sunday
Mostly sunny with a few storms possible. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.

Monday
Sunny with a few storms possible. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.