Things are still looking severe this weekend for South Mississippi. The GFS computer weather model shows a front with showers and storms pushing through the area between 9pm and 3am.
A full breakdown on the science behind this setup can be found here. Most of it still applies.
It looks like the first front on Friday won’t be much help, still. As it sags south it will open the door to pool moisture at the surface.
The good news for South Mississippi is that the storm mode made be linear and not discrete. That means that storms will congeal into a massive line in Louisiana and move through the area overnight as opposed to a handful of discrete, lone, rogue thunderstorms.
The lone thunderstorms tend to be the ones you have to worry about. Any time storms are alone, and discrete as we call it in the weather world, it means they have an easier time getting better organized. And organized storms have an easier time producing heavy rain, gusty wind, hail and tornadoes.
More details to come…
