Storms this morning along the coast, inland later today with flooding and severe weather possible: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 7/13/22

The forecast for today features another round of afternoon, evening and overnight showers and storms. As well as a few morning storms for those along the coast. In fact, the Weather Prediciton Center has outlines southeastern Louisiana, coastal Mississippi, lower Alabama and the Florida panhandle with tha risk for flash flooding this morning as storms along the coast may drop up to 6″ of rain with rainfall rates up to 2″ per hour between 7a and 10a.

area of interest // Courtesy: wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

This is not that unexpected as we anticipated seeing some heavy rain with a potential developing tropical system lingering off the coast. The threat for flooding rain like this will persist – off and on, here and there – until this thing decides to move out.

On top of that, the boundary to the north that helped spawn this area of storminess off the coast will push a handful of storms through the area – from north to south – this evening, overnight tonight and into tomorrow morning.

Severe weather risk stretches from Texas to Virginia // Courtesy: IEMBot

These storms have the potential to pose a severe weather risk, however that risk will be mainly for wind gusts up to 60mph. The tornado threat is very, very low.

Tomorrow, it looks like we will play a similar song and dance with more storms and the threat for a few strong storms, too.

If you’re curious about the development of that tropical riff-raff off the coast, it looks like it is really struggling to organize. The NHC now only gives the system “near zero” chance of development.



Zone-Specific Forecast

Team Green (southwest Mississippi counties) on the left
Team Orange (southeast Mississippi counties and southwest Alabama counties) in the middle
Team Blue (southeast Louisiana parishes and coastal Mississippi / Alabama) on the right


Southwest MS Forecast


Southeast MS / Southwest AL Forecast


SE Louisiana / Coastal MS & AL Forecast



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.