Tropical Forecast 6/21/26

Arthur is gone, and the National Hurricane Center is not anticipating any tropical cyclone activity for us over the next week…yay!

Courtesy: nhc.noaa.gov

Looking at the satellite imagery below, a plume of dust from the Saharan Desert is visible. The dust itself and the dry air that tags along with it are preventing disturbances from becoming more intense.

Courtesy: noaa.gov

Also, El Niño conditions developed over the past month, as shown by above-average sea surface temperatures across the central to eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean (line of red shown below). El Niño lessens hurricane conditions in the Atlantic due to hostile upper-level winds, while increasing hurricane activity in the eastern and central Pacific basins due to warmer water, and as expected, there is a low-end chance of development in the Pacific during the next seven days. That’s a Pacific concern and is not expected to have any impacts on us. For now, enjoy the quiet Atlantic, because hurricane season still has a long way to go.

Courtesy: noaa.gov



Author of the article:


Ella Szczerbik

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