Warm to hot weather with chances for storms: Southeast US Forecast – 8/3/22

Temperature estimate for today at 4 pm according to NAM model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

For the next day or two, temperatures might be a bit below normal across much of the Southeast (particularly AL and MS), as the area just experienced a cold front. Highs may stay in the 80s in many places. This isn’t true for all areas, however, as the Carolinas should stay warmer than the rest of the Southeast.

Over the weekend, some ridging is forecasted over the Southeast. This will raise the temperatures. On the map below, you can see an area of higher 500 mb heights corresponding to the ridge. Higher heights means warmer temperatures, as warm temperatures cause the atmosphere to expand. The hot temperatures will persist throughout the weekend.

500 mb height estimate for Saturday at 7 PM according to GFS model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

Towards the end of the weekend, temperatures may cool down again. This will not only lower the high temperatures but also bring thunderstorms as the front moves in. The front should move westward, and the storms will also progress toward the west. Expect increased chances for thunderstorms in the Carolinas on Saturday, Georgia and Alabama on Sunday, Mississippi on Monday, and Arkansas and Louisiana on Monday.

Radar estimate Sunday at 7 pm according to GFS model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather


Local Three Day Forecasts

Dallas, TX
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 104High: 103High: 100
Low: 81Low: 82Low: 79
Precip: NonePrecip: NonePrecip: None
Houston, TX
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 99High: 98High: 92
Low: 79Low: 77Low: 78
Precip: 20 percentPrecip: 20 percentPrecip: 60 percent
New Orleans, LA
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 87High: 89High: 87
Low: 77Low: 89Low: 87
Precip: 80 percentPrecip: 80 percentPrecip: 70 percent
Little Rock, AR
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 95High: 90High: 92
Low: 76Low: 75Low: 75
Precip: 20 percentPrecip: 50 percentPrecip: 40 percent
Memphis, TN
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 95High: 89High: 90
Low: 76Low: 74Low: 75
Precip: 10 percentPrecip: 50 percentPrecip: 50 percent
Birmingham, AL
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 90High: 90High: 91
Low: 72Low: 72Low: 73
Precip: 50 percentPrecip: 40 percentPrecip: 30 percent
Atlanta, GA
WednesdayThursdayFriday
High: 91High: 92High: 91
Low: 72Low: 71Low: 72
Precip: 40 percentPrecip: 50 percentPrecip: 40 percent


Author of the article:


Patrick Kulynych

I am a recent graduate from the University of Alabama in Huntsville with a Bachelor's Degree in atmospheric science. My focus is on forecasting, especially for severe weather events. It is my dream to one day live out in the Great Plains, where I can not only forecast as a career but also go out and chase storms as a hobby!