Despite it being September, Bobby Chain this morning looks no different than the morning of the Fourth of July.
Okay, so that is a lie. It was one degree cooler the morning of the Fourth!
Where is all the nicer, cooler air?
You can (you may have to zoom in a bit) that all the cooler stuff is north of I-20 for the most part. Where it should be this time of year. The average low for south Mississippi is about 70 degrees.
But, rest easy, friends Autumn is on the way! Eventually. Not soon. For now, we are still baking. Particularly this weekend, with only a few shots for rain and temperatures around 90 to 95.
It does look like two fronts will try to sneak toward the Gulf next week. One on Monday/Tuesday and the other on Thursday/Friday. As it looks like right now, neither will make it. However, it will give a bump to some chances for rain.
On top of that Invest 91L may be a concern for the Gulf Coast. Not because we expect it to develop quick and become a hurricane, but more so because the remnant thunderstorms may redevelop in the Gulf (and it may even get a new designation because of that, 93L) as a very low-end tropical depression.
Model data currently suggests this would simply be a rainmaker for whomever ended up underneath it. And not as much a surge/wind producer. That said, some of the data supports a lot of rain. Up to 10″ depending on which operational or ensemble guidance you investigate.
But since I’m not certain where that thing may – or may not – go yet, I don’t think it is much to worry about. And I know many of you may be thinking, “When would that get here?” but because I don’t know who would get it, that also dictates how long it would take to get to a spot.
The idea right now is any time between next Tuesday and next Saturday. So the window is pretty wide right now. Plus it will likely interact with some of the fronts that are triyng to move through the area, too, so that may also throw a wrench in things.
In the meantime, enjoy your Holiday Weekend. Plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. And only a 20-percent to 40-percent chance for rain. With the best chance for rain showing up on Monday.
Day-to-Day Forecast
Today
You may catch some patchy fog this morning before 9am, otherwise partly cloudy today with no real chance for rain. Highs in the lower 90s. Heat Index values as high as 100. The chance for rain is below 10-percent
Tonight
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70.
Saturday
Mostly sunny with a 20-percent chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Heat Index values around 100.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear. Lows around 70.
Sunday
Partly cloudy with a 20-percent chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Heat Index values around 100.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s
Labor Day
Passing clouds with a 40-percent chance for storms later in the day . Highs in the upper 80s.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy with chance for storms ending by midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. The chance of rain 20-percent.
Tuesday
Passing clouds with a better shot for storms. Highs in the upper 80s. The chance of rain 60-percent.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny with a 20-percent chance for storms. Highs around 90.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance for storms. Highs in the upper 80s.
