Southern Plains forecast remains “up in the air”

(UPDATE 12:00 PM) If you are here checking on today’s severe weather potential, please see our latest thoughts on today’s event here (ORIGINAL ARTICLE: 5:00 PM) It’s not often that the closer you get to…

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Severe weather possible across Southern Plains Wednesday

The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma is watching parts of the Southern Plains and Great Plains for severe weather on Wednesday. Right now, most computer weather models show modest instability, a weak cap, and…

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Introduction: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

The landscape of the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles isn’t considered dynamic, but the atmosphere above it can be. Each spring forecasters attempt to predict the chances for severe weather and try to determine where that…

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Methods: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

Using the database of information offered by the National Weather Service (NWS) in Amarillo, Texas, the number of tornado reports and tornado days was established. From there, the number of “Spring” tornadoes was established removing…

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Findings: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

There was a correlation between the weighted totals of the standard deviations from the mean of the anomalies of GoA SST, GoM SST, Previous Precipitation, ENSO SST when compared against the total number of tornadoes…

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Conclusion: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

There is a lot about forecasting severe weather season across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandle that is controlled regionally and even locally. This statistical analysis does not take that into account. There are too many…

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Current southern plains forecast

So far, so good. It looks like the forecast is verifying for the southern plains. While most of the severe weather is staying in east Texas, a solid soaking rain with strong-to-severe storms are rolling…

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One-Two punch means rain chances for southern plains

Mother Nature doesn’t often get compared to boxing, but this weekend the southern plains will be facing a one-two punch of systems giving the area decent chances for rain. Scenario As one area of low…

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