AM Tropical Update 6/13/21: Invest 92L guidance still unclear, except for one thing – rain

Looking at the overnight model guidance, things are starting to clear up a bit as to what we may eventually expect in terms of forecast track. But intensity and picking out a specific landfall are…

Read more of AM Tropical Update 6/13/21: Invest 92L guidance still unclear, except for one thing – rain

3/23-3/25 Multi-day severe weather potential for south Mississippi

It looks like there may be a few rounds of showers and storms Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday for south Mississippi. And there is the potential for severe weather each day, too. On top of that,…

Read more of 3/23-3/25 Multi-day severe weather potential for south Mississippi

Southeast St. Patrick’s Day severe weather potential

As we head into next week, there will be a few rounds of storms. Right now it looks like Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday will feature the possibility for storms. Monday may even feature the chance…

Read more of Southeast St. Patrick’s Day severe weather potential

Remember that “Huge Arctic Blast” I kept saying, “Let’s wait and see” about?

Well, we are getting a better look at it, and once again a conservative approach to forecasting seems to be winning. There is a reason I don’t go ‘full boar’ with these cold weather outbreaks…

Read more of Remember that “Huge Arctic Blast” I kept saying, “Let’s wait and see” about?

The Sunday/Monday wintry potential: We don’t know yet

Seriously. I’m doing my best to stay on top of the specifics, but we are just starting to get into the window of time where specifics are something we can estimate. And the data coming…

Read more of The Sunday/Monday wintry potential: We don’t know yet

12/31 early AM update: Severe weather potential remains for later today across Gulf Coast region

2020 going out with a bang, so to speak. Would you expect any less? Severe weather remains a possibility for later today across east Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida panhandle. It still looks…

Read more of 12/31 early AM update: Severe weather potential remains for later today across Gulf Coast region

Year End severe weather threat for Gulf Coast may last two days

This may be a multi-day event for some places. That means one round of storms one day, and then perhaps another round of storms in the same spo the next day.

Southeast faces severe weather threat next Tuesday / Wednesday

As if one this virus wasn’t enough, Mother Nature looked at the Calendar and remembered that it is still Spring. Looking at the latest data, there is still a chance for severe weather across parts…

Read more of Southeast faces severe weather threat next Tuesday / Wednesday

New year, same Mother Nature: Gulf Coast severe threat Jan 10-12

1/5/20 UPDATE: The SPC has now included parts of the Gulf Coast under a Slight Risk for severe weather for Friday and Saturday. For more information, head here. On that page, you can scroll down…

Read more of New year, same Mother Nature: Gulf Coast severe threat Jan 10-12