Warm Southwest, cool east, mostly dry weather for first half of week: CONUS Monday-Thursday Forecast – 1/28/2024

Looking ahead to the week, a fairly stagnant upper level pattern will be present for the first half of the week. Persistent ridging will occur over the Southwest, while a couple of troughs are expected to pass through the eastern third of the country.

Wind speed and height estimate at 500 mb pressure level at 12 AM Wednesday according to NAM model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

The ridging over the Southwest will result in relatively warm temperatures over the Southwest and southern Plains and cool to cold temperatures in the eastern third of the country. This temperature trend will hold fairly steady over the next few days.

Temperature estimate 3 PM Monday according to HRRR model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather
Temperature estimate 3 PM CST Wednesday according to NAM model // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

Most of the country will be dry for the first half of the week. Some rain and snow will be possible in parts of the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic states on Tuesday and early Wednesday ahead of the trough that is visible in the first image. Additionally, much of California will likely see heavy rain (or snow in the higher elevations) late Wednesday and Thursday. Aside from that, most states will see dry weather through Thursday.



Author of the article:


Patrick Kulynych

I am a recent graduate from the University of Alabama in Huntsville with a Bachelor's Degree in atmospheric science. My focus is on forecasting, especially for severe weather events. It is my dream to one day live out in the Great Plains, where I can not only forecast as a career but also go out and chase storms as a hobby!