Tropical Storm Zeta forecast cone shifts back west

The title says it all. This will be a rather odd landfall-tropical-situation along the Gulf Coast. Because while the people who are in the direct path of this system will see the heavy rain, damaging…

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Invest95L organizing, likely to be designated later today (perhaps Zeta)

The National Hurricane Center is very confident that Invest 95L will organize into a Tropical Depression, or perhaps even a Tropical Storm, by later today. The model guidance is starting to come into better agreement.…

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Invest95L in Caribbean now slated to move toward Gulf

You may have heard me joke the other day that this thing was like that scene from the comedy, Austin Powers. Where, when falling out of a building he lands on a woman (who had…

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From Climate Change to COVID-19: Science takes time, trust the process

A lot of people, when they have an idea about how something works, say, “I have a theory….” But they don’t. People who say, “I have a theory…” often just have a hypothesis. Theories take…

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2020 Orionid meteor shower in the South – look East(ish), then up

If you are looking to catch a glimpse at a few passing meteor streaks, try to find the constellation Orion in the night sky, then look up. What you’ll see Head out after midnight, or…

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2020-2021 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook

After four-consecutive “wins” at seasonal forecasting, last year’s Outlook was, in a word, not great. It felt like I missed nearly every place I tried to get right. Okay, it wasn’t that bad. I gave…

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8PM Update: Breaking down Delta’s impacts on So. Mississippi towns

Since so many of you guys appreciated my efforts earlier, I wanted to offer a quick update for everyone. Here is another long list of towns int eh area along with a forecast for each…

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10/9/20 4PM NHC Advisory: Hurricane Delta now Category 2, nearing landfall

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…29.3N 93.2W ABOUT 35 MI…55 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…966 MB…28.53 INCHES FORECAST…

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