You may have heard me joke the other day that this thing was like that scene from the comedy, Austin Powers. Where, when falling out of a building he lands on a woman (who had…
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Category: Forecasting
2020-2021 Gulf Coast Winter Outlook
After four-consecutive “wins” at seasonal forecasting, last year’s Outlook was, in a word, not great. It felt like I missed nearly every place I tried to get right. Okay, it wasn’t that bad. I gave…
The 2020 La Nina and the Pine Belt
A La Nina Advisory has been issued by the Climate Prediction Center. This is an indication that La Nina conditions have been observed and are forecast to continue. Recall that a La Nina, in short,…
8PM Update: Breaking down Delta’s impacts on So. Mississippi towns
Since so many of you guys appreciated my efforts earlier, I wanted to offer a quick update for everyone. Here is another long list of towns int eh area along with a forecast for each…
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10/9/20 4PM NHC Advisory: Hurricane Delta now Category 2, nearing landfall
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…29.3N 93.2W ABOUT 35 MI…55 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…105 MPH…165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…966 MB…28.53 INCHES FORECAST…
Read more of 10/9/20 4PM NHC Advisory: Hurricane Delta now Category 2, nearing landfall
How Delta will affect individual towns in South Mississippi
I’ve received a ton of interest about how Hurricane Delta is going to impact each specific town in the Pine Belt. And while I can offer this information, it won’t be terribly precise AND accurate.…
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10/08/20 4PM NHC Update: Delta regains “Major Hurricane” strength
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…24.8N 93.4W ABOUT 345 MI…555 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…115 MPH…185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…959 MB…28.32 INCHES FORECAST…
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10/8/20 10AM Update: After a night of reorganization, Delta intensifying
Y’all. I get it. I’m tired of these things, too. If you think you’re getting tired of reading about the threat from a hurricane or tropical storm, you can’t imagine how I feel about writing…
Read more of 10/8/20 10AM Update: After a night of reorganization, Delta intensifying
10/8/20 Early AM Update: Hurricane Delta continues strengthening, moving toward Gulf Coast
Hurricane Delta is in, what I’ve often called, a “primo environment.” That is to say, it has warm water and low shear, so it is free to organize and strengthen without predictable physics getting in…
10/7/20 4PM Update: Hurricane Delta reorganizing, moving toward Gulf Coast
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT LOCATION…22.1N 89.5W ABOUT 55 MI…90 KM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO ABOUT 580 MI…935 KM SSE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17…
Read more of 10/7/20 4PM Update: Hurricane Delta reorganizing, moving toward Gulf Coast
