NHC continues to increase risk of tropical development, now at 70-percent

7/8/19 2AM UPDATE: Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019 For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A trough of low pressure…

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NHC increases chance of development in the Gulf

This morning the National Hurricane Center increased the chance of tropical development in the Gulf to 40-percent during the next five days. Right now, model guidance is still pointing to the Wednesday night through Saturday…

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National Hurricane Center highlights new area of concern

SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE: NHC has increased the chance there is tropical development. For the latest info: http://nickelblock.com/?p=30450 ORIGINAL POST FROM SATURDAY: The National Hurricane center has highlighted an area that will need to be monitored…

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Hype-free look at Gulf Coast tropical activity for next week

Well, that didn’t take long did it? After a handful of models starting to come into agreement that something may develop off the east coast or in the Gulf, the scare-tactic posts have begun. In…

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As MJO passes, Atlantic basin could become more favorable for development in July

I don’t often get onto sub-seasonal oscillations on here for a handful of reasons… 1. I don’t know as much as I wished I did about them 2. In general, it doesn’t apply to everyday…

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WX Info: Classifying the different strengths of summer thunderstorms

I posted a quick graphic on Facebook the other day that seemed to resonate with a lot of people. It was a basic look at the different strengths of storms South Mississippi endures during the…

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This Forecast Brought to You by Amber and Noah Losing Our Minds at a Blob of Rain

So as Amber and I are looking at several different models for Wednesday’s chance of rain, we notice an enclosed high pressure system forming out near the lower Mississippi River. We’re both thinking “Why is…

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