7/9/19 – New overnight forecast info for Invest92L

For you up-all-nighters, here is a quick look at some of the new overnight data an how it is shifting the forecast for Invest 92L. This continues to be a reasonably low-end-looking storm with the…

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As MJO passes, Atlantic basin could become more favorable for development in July

I don’t often get onto sub-seasonal oscillations on here for a handful of reasons… 1. I don’t know as much as I wished I did about them 2. In general, it doesn’t apply to everyday…

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Hurricane speed debate highlights how the scientific community works

If tropical cyclones are – in general – slowing down, that could have some pretty dramatic impacts in the future. But the science isn’t settled. Let’s take a look… A quick preamble If you caught…

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Model guidance for Invest91L shows low-end threat for Gulf Coast

Good morning, everyone. As Invest 91L continue to churn around in the Bay of Campeche, the model guidance is starting to come into some agreement on the fate of the system. via GIPHY Model guidance…

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NHC still monitoring Invest91L in Gulf of Mexico

Even though the NHC didn’t send the Hurricane Hunters into Invest 91L today, the meteorologists are still monitoring the system for further development. Development is possible, but Rapid Intensification is not expected. Most model data…

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Hurricane Season starts today, Invest91L in the Gulf with 50% chance of development

Welcome to Hurricane Season. Right on schedule, the National Hurricane Center is keeping tabs on an area of interest that is moving through the Bay of Campeche in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Model guidance…

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2AM Tropical Update Video: Late night Hurricane Michael chat

Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center: SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT…0600 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————- LOCATION…27.7N 86.6W ABOUT 180 MI…290 KM SSW OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA ABOUT 170 MI…275 KM SW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA…

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8PM UPDATE: Tropical Storm Michael continues to strengthen, move north

Tropical Storm Michael is now forecast to be a Category Two hurricane as is moves ashore somewhere between Pensacola, Florida and Cedar Key, Florida Wednesday around midday. Impacts will be felt outside of the Cone…

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Why is Florence forecast now shifting south, what does this mean?

The big news this morning is the continued shift to the south on the official forecast track from the National Hurricane Center. I know a lot of people are upset or confused about what is…

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