3/3/20 11PM UPDATE: Severe weather threat increasing overnight

The last few runs of the HRRR computer weather model, coupled with the 00z HRW- suite of models, and the 00z NAM-3km computer weather model have me a bit more concerned with the threat for…

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3/3/19 8AM BRIEF: Severe weather, flooding still possible for South Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center continues to monitor the region of the potential for severe weather. Latest model guidance continues to show the threat for storms and very – very! – heavy rainfall across the area…

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3/2/20 AM BRIEF: Severe threat relaxing, flooding threat increasing for South Mississippi, Alabama

I made mention of this on twitter the other day. I’m starting to think this next system is going to be more of a rain event for south Mississippi…. — Nick Lilja (@NickLilja) March 1,…

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Southern parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama face severe risk and flooding potential Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday

That is a lot of words in the title, but there is also a lot happening in the weather during the Tuesday through Thursday timeframe for parts of the Gulf Coast. via GIPHY As an…

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South Mississippi severe weather Tuesday & Wednesday may now include potential flooding

via GIPHY I know, I know. I’m full of good news. The last thing this area needs is more rain. And severe weather. But Mother Nature continues to sling it this direction. As the next…

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Severe weather possible for Gulf Coast and Southeast March 3rd/4th

All that “In like a lion, out like a lamb” or vice-versa talk about March, as a scientist, always makes me cringe. Because it is based on subjective opinion and not objective analysis. That leaves…

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Another week, another round of severe weather possible for Gulf Coast

via GIPHY I think this GIF was my reaction to opening up the SPC page this morning. Alex Puckett, a great meteorologist up in Huntsville sent me a message via facebook sharing his displeasure via…

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SPC: Mississippi severe threat increases this afternoon / evening

The Storm Prediction Center has up’d the severe weather risk for portions of central and northern Mississippi for this afternoon and evening. There is now an “Enhanced Risk” for severe weather. And they have even…

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2/5/20 12:15AM UPDATE: Gulf Coast severe weather threat for Wednesday (with updated Karrie Meter)

The SPC is continuing the Slight Risk for severe weather for sections of the Gulf Coast. As the next system swings through it will open the door for showers and storms to develop across the…

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In Blob We Trust: A Gulf Coast severe weather model data update

UPDATE (Monday, 9am): The Storm Prediction Center has decreased the severe weather risk to a Marginal risk for sections – but not all – of Mississippi, Louisiana and Alabama. The SPC notes: “This should be…

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