Attempting to develop new Tropical ‘Threats’ Scale

I’m no Herbert Saffir or Robert Simpson, but I do like thinking outside the box and challenging myself with trying to find order in chaos. Truly, I think that is why I love meteorology so…

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Hype-free: Two tropical storms headed into the Gulf – what we know, don’t know, can’t know, and want to know

As most of you guys know,I never claim to have all of the answers. But, I know there are a TON of questions floating around with these two storms and – with the reasonable rarity…

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Tropical activity continues to gain momentum with TD13 and Invest97L

This may be a pretty lengthy and detailed write up, so feel free to skim it for the parts you want. Or read the whole thing and be super informed! As the long-awaited Kelvin Wave…

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Both Colorado State & NOAA independently increase seasonal Hurricane numbers

Because: 2020. Am I right? This morning, NOAA released their update to the seasonal prediction for tropical activity in the Atlantic basin. The numbers aren’t “incredibly” higher, but the increase does mean there is a…

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7/28/20 Tropical Update – PTC9 / Isaias organizing, moving toward Puerto Rico

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine. The storm is likely going to be named Isaias in the coming days. It isn’t forecast to be near Florida and the Bahamas until…

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Invest98L shows better chance for development during next few days

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a cluster of storms in/near the Gulf of Mexico for development in the coming days as the center of the cluster drifts northeast and into the Atlantic. This…

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6/7/20 10AM update: Tropical Storm Cristobal

Cristobal continues to move toward Louisiana. Now located about 90 miles from New Orleans, projected to make landfall between 4pm and 7pm tonight. Cristobal will be a Tropical Storm at landfall, barring some incredible last-minute…

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Tropical Storm Cristobal forms in Bay of Campeche

via GIPHY Tropical Storm Cristobal has formed deep in the bay of Campeche. The Hurricane Hunters are on their way to investigate the storm. Just one day after the start of #HurricaneSeason, the @53rdWRS are…

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9/24/19 PM Tropical Update – Jerry, Karen, and Lorenzo

There are still a lot of uncertainties with with what is happening in the Tropics right now. A lot of the uncertainty surrounds the movement of Karen and how that may impact the weather in…

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