10/5/22 7PM Update: Dry weather continues – No ‘good’ chance for meaningful rain through October 25th says latest model guidance

It’s been pretty dry lately. During the last 30 days rainfall totals are sitting around 0.5″ to 2.5″ – about 1″ to 4″ behind where we should be this time of year. Folks up near…

Read more of 10/5/22 7PM Update: Dry weather continues – No ‘good’ chance for meaningful rain through October 25th says latest model guidance

Still dry with burn bans expanding, still watching the tropics: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 10/4/22

Things continue to look pretty dry around here. During the next two weeks, model guidance suggests between 10- and 50-percent of normal rainfall across the region. Normal rainfall for this time of year is about…

Read more of Still dry with burn bans expanding, still watching the tropics: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 10/4/22

Central US, Parts of Northwest Heat Up as Eastern Half of Country Cools Down: CONUS Weather Forecast – 8/11/2022

Good morning folks, and happy Thursday! There’s quite a lot going on across the country this morning, so let’s waste no time and jump right into the forecast! Current Synoptic Picture The main features to…

Read more of Central US, Parts of Northwest Heat Up as Eastern Half of Country Cools Down: CONUS Weather Forecast – 8/11/2022

Summertime thunderstorms from the Carolinas to East Texas: Southeast Weather Forecast – 8/11/22

The Southeast will experience around average temperatures for this time of year with highs ranging from the upper 80s to mid 90s. General afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms will be common across the region, including parts…

Read more of Summertime thunderstorms from the Carolinas to East Texas: Southeast Weather Forecast – 8/11/22

Ridging West, Troughing East: CONUS Weather Forecast/Discussion-8/9/22

Looking across the country, conditions are largely unchanged from the past few days. One of the main stories, the heat wave in the Pacific NW, is finally abating, with Excessive Heat Warnings in Central Washington…

Read more of Ridging West, Troughing East: CONUS Weather Forecast/Discussion-8/9/22

Polarized weather continues, Central Plains heat and drought, stormy Eastern U.S. and Southwest: CONUS Weather Forecast – 8/6/22

For the past couple of weeks, much of the CONUS has been experiencing two extremes: excessive rainfall leading to dangerous flooding and worsening droughts with above average temperatures. On the other hand, monsoonal moisture has…

Read more of Polarized weather continues, Central Plains heat and drought, stormy Eastern U.S. and Southwest: CONUS Weather Forecast – 8/6/22

Flooding continues as transcontinental front stays stalled, Texas continues to dry up as its neighbors see most of the rain, and heatwave expected for Midwest next week: CONUS Forecast – 7/30/22

I would like to start off this post by saying my heart goes out to my home state of Kentucky where its eastern residents have been impacted by a major flooding event which has claimed…

Read more of Flooding continues as transcontinental front stays stalled, Texas continues to dry up as its neighbors see most of the rain, and heatwave expected for Midwest next week: CONUS Forecast – 7/30/22

Flash Flooding and Worsening Drought – Both Extremes in the Southern US: Southeast Weather Forecast – 7/27/22

Good morning! The main story is, you guessed it, the heat! Not much else is going on at the moment, so that’s pretty much the main story for today. Taking a look at the surface…

Read more of Flash Flooding and Worsening Drought – Both Extremes in the Southern US: Southeast Weather Forecast – 7/27/22

Some drought conditions improve while others worsen amidst the heat: Southeast Weather Forecast – 7/24/22

Overall a drier pattern is expected across the Southeast for the next three days with the exception of afternoon/evening thunderstorms in the thick of the heat. Sufficient surface moisture (dewpoints ranging from 70F-75F) and high…

Read more of Some drought conditions improve while others worsen amidst the heat: Southeast Weather Forecast – 7/24/22

Eastern US will see storms and drought-busting rainfall as the western and central US heat up: CONUS Weather Forecast – 7/6/22

For the last several weeks, the typical pattern has been a heatwave-inducing ridge in the Southeast while the Northwest has seen a trough delivering cool, wet weather. However, this pattern is shifting as the dominant…

Read more of Eastern US will see storms and drought-busting rainfall as the western and central US heat up: CONUS Weather Forecast – 7/6/22