8/26/21 Tropical Update: Tropical Depression 9 and what it means for the Gulf Coast

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT LOCATION…16.9N 79.2WABOUT 115 MI…180 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICAABOUT 210 MI…340 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMANMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005…

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8/25/21 Invest 99L forecast/model update

The National Hurricane Center designated the little area of disorganized storms in the Caribbean as Invest 99L. That allows the NHC to start running specialized tropical forecast models on the system. There is still a…

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Tropical Storm Fred Pt. 2 – It is back, and it is kidney bean shaped

A few things happened overnight with Fred. Frist off, Fred is a Tropical Strom again. And it is headed toward the Florida panhandle. Again. The center of Fred reformed under an explosion of convection well…

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8/14/21: Fred ain’t dead yet – Mississippi/Alabama in the Forecast Cone

The Tropical Storm formerly known as Fred couldn’t have taken a more difficult path to the Gulf of Mexico. After waltzing through the Caribbean like Sideshow Bob moves through a field of rakes, it decided…

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South Mississippi Forecast 8/12/21: Storms again today, with eyes on Fred

Another day, another round of showers and storms possible in the afternoon. Not much will be different today. It does look like storms won’t be quite as potent, but a few strong storms will be…

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8/11/21 7PM Tropical Storm Fred update

It is still out there. It is still getting beat up by Hispaniola. And I wouldn’t worry too much about it. Given the available data, the overall pattern atmospherically, and the timeline laid out by…

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South Mississippi Forecast 8/11/21 – plus a look at Tropical Storm Fred

There may be a slightly better shot for rain today than originally anticipated. And it may be even higher than I have inthe forecast below. The overall pattern should support some stronger storms, too, with…

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